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Politics

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Will the Fed cut rates at the next meeting?

41%YES

59%NO

Virtual LMSR - implied probability

YES41%NO59%

25%

50%

75%

100%

GRADUATION$38K / $150K matched

Volume

$97K

Receipts

412

b

3,000

About this market

Resolves YES if the target range decreases at the next scheduled FOMC decision.

Closes

Jul 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

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Fixture-backed trading preview.

Mock

Collateral budgetpUSD

Avg price43c

Est. receipt shares576.72 sh

Price band41% to 46%

Price impact+4.72 pts

Max cost$254

Not a guaranteed fill. Clears at graduation; worst case is a full refund at your exact path cost.

Receipts waiting

412

Matched liquidity

$38K